(((Harry Enten)))

@ForecasterEnten ↗

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Last Checked Sept. 1, 2020

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Wed Apr 17 13:23:46 +0000 2019

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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Two examples come to mind where approval ratings didn't tell the whole story. One is presidential: 1976, when Ford (after Watergate) clearly had a net positive approval rating. Still lost to the better liked Ford. https://t.co/AmHEoiMkgR — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 17, 2019 Hibernated

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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Now can it work? I think it could. It seems to me most scholarship surrounding reelection uses approval ratings. Turns out difference in favorable ratings between 2 major candidates (not endogenous from approval ratings) is more predictive https://t.co/AmHEoiMkgR — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 17, 2019 Hibernated

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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Another more modern example is what happened in Nevada in 2010: Obama net negative approve. Harry Reid net neg approval. What did Reid do? Got the gift of Sharron Angle & made her even more disliked. Won reelection by 6. https://t.co/AmHEoiMkgR — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 17, 2019 Hibernated