David Weigel

@daveweigel ↗

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Last Checked Dec. 13, 2022

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Thu Dec 08 18:32:40 +0000 2022

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David Weigel @daveweigel

Biggest shift in a competitive race was (obviously) Florida, where Rubio ran 11.1 points ahead of Trump 2020. Biggest shift against an incumbent Dem was in NY - Schumer ran 13.2 points behind Biden 2020 margin. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 8, 2022

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David Weigel @daveweigel

Combing 2022 numbers now that Georgia's done, and struck again by how little the 2020 coalitions changed. In the 34 R v D Senate races, 21 Rs improved on Trump 2020, mostly in deep red states and NY. But 13 Rs ran behind Trump, often in targeted states (AZ/GA/OH/PA/NH/CO). — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 8, 2022

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David Weigel @daveweigel

But in the closest Senate races - the ones decided by less than 5 points - AZ/GA/PA shifted a couple points to the left and NC/NV/WI shifted a couple points to the right. A billion dollars spent to move the 2020 margin by inches. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 8, 2022