Dave Wasserman

@Redistrict ↗

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Last Checked April 14, 2022

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Thu Feb 03 19:45:42 +0000 2022

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

*Evergreen disclaimer: this doesn't mean Dems are on track to gain House seats *overall* in 2022. A 2-3 seat redistricting gain is significant, but a 42% Biden approval rating could be worth several dozen seats to the GOP in November. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 3, 2022

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

*There's still quite a bit of uncertainty in: - FL, where Rs are debating how aggressive to be - NC/OH, where courts may order big changes to GOP maps - PA, where the state Sup Ct will select a map - AL/LA/SC, where SCOTUS could decide on additional Black opportunity seats — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 3, 2022

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

In full disclosure, a component of the shift in our scorecard's outlook is methodological. We're comparing the new maps to how districts *could* have broken down in '22 had lines not changed - hence GOP -0.5 each in NV/OR, even though Rs won't lose any seats there. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 3, 2022