Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Dec. 22, 2022

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Wed Nov 09 20:51:42 +0000 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@joshtpm I mean, it didn't even happen in the previous midterm! (Polling was pretty unbiased in 2018.) Not being able to recall more than one or two elections ago and assuming what happened then is some new iron law is a classic failing of political journalism. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 9, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

One thing about the GOP mini-wave in NY state/NYC metro is that you're going to have a half-dozen Republican House members who are extremely vulnerable under typical presidential-year turnout conditions and will have a lot of incentive to buck GOP leadership. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 9, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Yep. And even in 2016 he lost the popular vote against a very unpopular Democratic opponent. — PolitiTweet.org

We're 3 election cycles (2018, 2020, 2022) deep from Trump's one win. Rs lost big in 2018, lost the WH in 2020, and… https://t.co/4CQAAlqL1Y

Posted Nov. 9, 2022