(((Harry Enten)))

@ForecasterEnten ↗

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Last Checked March 11, 2022

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Wed Nov 03 19:27:18 +0000 2021

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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Here were the final polls in NJ (all Murphy leads): +6, +4, +8, +9, +9, +11, +4. Avg of 7.3. My guess is at the end of the day, we're probably heading toward a 5 point miss. 30% of all gov races had final polling averages miss by at least 5 points from 1998 to 2020. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 3, 2021

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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

From what I can tell, the GOP won the House of Delegates vote statewide at this point 51.8% to 47.3% in VA. GOP just flat out won statewide in VA, no matter what way you look at it. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 3, 2021

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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Voters don't care about Donald Trump. They care about Joe Biden's unpopularity. VA is a good example: the 16% of Virginia voters who didn't like Biden or Trump, Youngkin won by better than 2 to 1. This was a key bloc that put Youngkin over the edge. https://t.co/mKCEsn16A0 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 3, 2021